Las Vegas Home Sales Up in August 2019

The prices of resale homes continued its slow rise in August, with the median price rising to $307,000, the highest level since March of 2007. Sales were also up from August 2018.

Many feel this reflects the lower interest rates that now seem to have bottomed out. Inventory of available homes on Sept. 15, 2019, was down 10.7% from two months ago, as back-to-back months of 3,000+ closings ate into inventory. The median price is up 3.72% year over year, but only up 1.3% since January.

Las Vegas Home Prices June 2019

Many felt the meteoric rise in Las Vegas home prices would lead to a collapse, or at least a fall in prices. What we are seeing, however, is market stabilization.

The sales of existing single family homes in the Las Vegas Valley (Las Vegas, North Las Vegas and Henderson) for June 2019 has slipped a bit compared to recent years, but the market remains vibrant as the median sales price for the year has remained essentially unchanged. The market has been aided by low mortgage rates, as well as the continuing desire of Californians to escape unsustainable housing costs and the realization of retirees nation-wide that our low-tax state is a wonderful place to live. A resident in Chicago, for instance, may have to pay $7,000-10,000 per year in property taxes. Here, they may pay in the neighborhood of $1500-2000! That is a $5,000 improvement in life-style.

Plus, we are a growing vibrant community with new restaurants, parks, and entertainment options adding to our already exciting facilities. Downtown is busy with the construction of Stevens brothers’ magnificent Circa, which will set a new standard for the area. Resort World from the Genting Group continues its progress toward a late 2020 opening. The Drew, a huge Marriott hotel/convention property rising 60-plus stories above the Strip is slated to open in 2022. But it doesn’t end there! The MSG Sphere is a unique idea in entertainment venues, with high-resolution 360 degree LED screens and the most sophisticated sound system in the world.

The new stadium built in conjunction with the Oakland Raiders is over half complete. AEG Worldwide has just signed on to bring events to the stadium once completed. And we are experiencing new energy in revamped casinos such as the Sahara reverting to its original name and the Hard Rock slowly becoming a Virgin property. All of this revitalization beats the hell out of a stagnant neighborhood with declining appeal and rising taxes! Is it time for you to move to Las Vegas?

Las Vegas Valley Real Estate Sales March 2019

The long-term sellers’ market continues this month in spite of a significant slowing in the pace of home sales. In March, the Greater Las Vegas Association of REALTORS® totals show the number of homes sold continues to trail the previous year, but prices remain stable.

March 2019 sales dropped over 17% from the year before, and this is a trend we expect to continue, although not always to this degree. Although, for the first quarter, sales are down a little over 15%, the Las Vegas real estate market is still considered a sellers’ market because inventory remains tight, with just a 2.89 month (87 days) supply of homes available. A 120-140 day supply of homes in Las Vegas is considered historically “normal”.

Prices have held steady since September 2018. The Median Price for March was $302,000. What we are finding is an affordability limit with ever fewer homes available in the price range below $275,000.

We certainly can’t blame interest rates, as today’s 30-year fixed rated conforming loan quoted by Wells Fargo Bank is 4.375% with APR of 4.443%. With the Federal Reserve disclosing their increased reluctance to raise rates, we do not anticipate mortgage rates rising much this year.

Projected sales for April also lag the year previous. It will be interesting to see what happens with prices.

Las Vegas Resale Home Sales For February 2019

Las Vegas real estate prices remain stable in February as the number of homes sold continues to trail 2018. The median price remained in the same area as it has been since August 2018 at $298,000, but it is up over 7% from February 2018. The number of Las Vegas homes sold in the first two months of 2018 is down over 14% from last year because we seem to have hit an affordability limit!

Interest rates remain in the sub-5% range, so it is price that is limiting affordability. Sellers tend to overprice the homes at the start, but we are seeing a sizable number of price reductions each week. This year, just under half the homes sold have been on the market for 30 days or less. Last year at this time, almost two-thirds (63%) of the homes sold within the first 30 days. Available inventory of homes with no offers rests at almost a 4-month supply, almost double the supply of homes we had last year.

New home sales, according to SalesTraq (a Las Vegas research company), declined 12% in January compared to a year earlier. The median price of new homes rose 6% compared to January 2018.

The trend of declining sales seems to be continuing into March as projected closings of resale homes seem to be well below March 2018. The economy continues strong but ever increasing prices must end some time, and that time seems to be 2019. Each month, we will likely see ever smaller price increases year over year as Las Vegas drops from the ranks of the hottest housing markets nationwide.

Las Vegas Home Sales for 2018 and January 2019

January 2019 continued the Las Vegas home sales trend of fewer sales at slightly higher prices. The $303,000 median sales price was the highest here since June 2007, which was just as prices started spiraling downward for three and a half years. However, adjusted for inflation, we are nowhere near that peak number.

So, how is the Las Vegas real estate market? Is Las Vegas real estate in a bubble? Sales, although down 20% from the year before, remain strong. Low mortgage rates are helping people decide that they should buy now rather than hope prices and interest rates will go down. Most likely, neither will. So, are we in a bubble? No. Our local economy continues to grow, bringing new residents to fill new jobs. And we still have 3 billion-dollar-plus construction projects under way.

Our inventory rests at about a four month supply, which, for Las Vegas, is about normal. Gone are the days sellers would have three or four offers within a day of listing their home for sale. In fact, for the past two months, more homes listed for sale on the market have reduced their listing price than new homes have come on the market. For example, last week 879 homes on the market reduced the asking price, while only 735 new listings entered the market.

The much feared rise in interest rates appears to have moderated. It seems the Federal Reserve is less inclined to raise interest rates as much in 2019 as it did in 2018. Most lenders are offering 30-year FHA loans well under 5% these days. We can only hope that continues.

So, what is the Las Vegas real estate forecast for 2019? In the opinion of this REALTOR® Broker, I see the number of sales decreasing 5-10% compared to 2018 while prices inch upward because of the growth of the economy.

Las Vegas Resale Home Sales in 2018 – What is 2019 Going to Look Like?

Sticker Shock! Mortgage Rates! Lack of Inventory! These three issues contributed to a slowing in the number of sales of existing single family homes in Las Vegas in 2018.

Sticker shock comes with the ever increasing prices sellers are asking for their homes. That issue is in the process of being resolved as inventory grows, allowing buyers more options. We also saw a flattening of the Median Sales Price in 2018. It rose only a little over 1% from May through December. Many buyers are pausing to see if prices will decline. With an increasing population and solid employment in the valley, that is not likely, but neither can prices continue to increase at such a rate. The Median Price rose 26.8% from $235,000 in December 2016 to $298,000 in December 2018. That is not a sustainable rate of growth.

As for mortgage rates, they rose about one-half percent in 2018 as the Federal Reserve increased its rates three times. For a person with a $250,000 loan, that adds about $75 per month to their mortgage payment. Thus, houses become less affordable. It is predicted that the Federal Reserve will increase rates through 2019, but that depends on the overall economy. Mortgage rates certainly will NOT decline, so they will continue to be a factor slowing sales. For us older folks, it is difficult to imageine buyers thinking 4.5% interest is HIGH, when we remember rates of 7% being celebrated as reasonable in the early 2000’s and rates in double digits in the late 1970’s and 1980’s.

Finally, inventory has been tight. Through August of 2018, inventory hovered under a two-month supply. That caused buyers to match or exceed list price in their offers on many occasions. Those days are over! Since September, sales have slowed considerably. In fact December 2018 sales were 19% below December of 2017. Buyers have hit the pause button. Inventory of homes not under contract currently available is right around 7,000 today, so we now have over a three month supply of homes. Another good sign for buyers is price decreases of existing unsold listings almost equal the number of new listings. The market is correcting.

New home sales continue to outpace the year before. According to an article written by Eli Segall in the Las Vegas Review Journal on January 25, 2019, 2018 NEW home sales, including single family homes, townhomes and condominius, totaled 10,669 with a median price of $396,994. Although 10,000 new home sales is very good when compared to the recent past, it is far short of 2005 when 10,000 new homes sold in the 3rd Quarter! The median price for new homes did rise 7% from 2017. We expect that to stay level as sales of more affordable product such as condominiums increase in 2019.

So what lies ahead for Las Vegas home sales in 2019? REALTOR.com projects Las Vegas prices will rise over 8% in 2019, and volume will inch up over 2018 (a year in which sales went DOWN 7.4% from 2017). That may be true if you include new homes, condos and townhouses, but I see a much smaller increase in the median price for resale homes, as interest rates and affordability have started to curb buying power in a valley not known as a high wage center. I predict fewer homes sold in 2019 with a median price that inches up at a much slower pace.

3 Reasons This is NOT the 2008 Real Estate Market

3 Reasons This is NOT the 2008 Real Estate Market | Simplifying The Market

Today’s real estate market is nothing like the 2008 market. When an economic slowdown happens, it won’t resemble the last one.

No one knows for sure when the next recession will occur. What is known, however, is that the upcoming economic slowdown will not be caused by a housing market crash, as was the case in 2008. There are those who disagree and are comparing today’s real estate market to the market in 2005-2006, which preceded the crash. In many ways, however, the market is very different now. Here are three suppositions being put forward by some, and why they don’t hold up.

SUPPOSITION #1

A critical warning sign last time was the surging gap between the growth in home prices and household income. Today, home values have also outpaced wage gains. As in 2006, a lack of affordability will kill the market.

Counterpoint

The “gap” between wages and home price growth has existed since 2012. If that is a sign of a recession, why didn’t we have one sometime in the last seven years? Also, a buyer’s purchasing power is MUCH GREATER today than it was thirteen years ago. The equation to determine affordability has three elements:  home prices, wages, AND MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES. Today, the mortgage rate is about 3.5% versus 6.41% in 2006.

SUPPOSITION #2

In 2018, as in 2005, housing-price growth began slowing, with significant price drops occurring in some major markets. Look at Manhattan where home prices are in a “near free-fall.”

Counterpoint

The only major market showing true depreciation is Seattle, and it looks like home values in that city are about to reverse and start appreciating again. CoreLogic is projecting home price appreciation to reaccelerate across the country over the next twelve months.

Regarding Manhattan, home prices are dropping because the city’s new “mansion tax” is sapping demand. Additionally, the new federal tax code that went into effect last year continues to impact the market, capping deductions for state and local taxes, known as SALT, at $10,000. That had the effect of making it more expensive to own homes in states like New York.

SUPPOSITION #3

Prices will crash because that is what happened during the last recession.

Counterpoint

It is true that home values sank by almost 20% during the 2008 recession. However, it is also true that in the four previous recessions, home values depreciated only once (by less than 2%). In the other three, residential real estate values increased by 3.5%, 6.1%, and 6.6%.

Price is determined by supply and demand. In 2008, there was an overabundance of housing inventory (a 9-month supply). Today, housing inventory is less than half of that (a 4-month supply).

Bottom Line

We need to realize that today’s real estate market is nothing like the 2008 market. Therefore, when a recession occurs, it won’t resemble the last one.

3 Reasons to Use a Real Estate Pro in a Complex Digital World

3 Reasons to Use a Real Estate Pro in a Complex Digital World | Simplifying The Market

If you’re searching for a home online, you’re not alone; lots of people are doing it. The question is, are you using all of your available resources, and are you using them wisely? Here’s why the Internet is a great place to start the home-buying process, and the truth on why it should never be your only go-to resource when it comes to making such an important decision.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the three most popular information sources home buyers use in the home search are:

  • Online website (93%)
  • Real estate agent (86%)
  • Mobile/tablet website or app (73%)

Clearly, you’re not alone if you’re starting your search online; 93% of home buyers are right there with you. The even better news: 86% of buyers are also getting their information from a real estate agent at the same time.

Here are 3 top reasons why using a real estate professional in addition to a digital search is key:

1. There’s More to Real Estate Than Finding a Home Online. It’s a lonely and complicated trek around the web if you don’t have a real estate professional to also help you through the 230 possible steps you’ll face as you navigate through a real estate transaction. That’s a pretty staggering number! Determining your price, submitting an offer, and successful negotiation are just a few of these key steps in the sequence. You’ll definitely want someone who has been there before to help you through it.

2. You Need a Skilled Negotiator. In today’s market, hiring a talented negotiator could save you thousands, maybe even tens of thousands of dollars. From the original offer to the appraisal and the inspection, many of the intricate steps can get complicated and confusing. You need someone who can keep the deal together until it closes.

3. It Is Crucial to Make a Competitive and Compelling Offer. There is so much information out there in the news and on the Internet about home sales, prices, and mortgage rates. How do you know what’s specifically going on in your area? How do you know what to offer on your dream home without paying too much or offending the seller with a lowball offer?

Dave Ramsey, the financial guru, advises:

“When getting help with money, whether it’s insurance, real estate or investments, you should always look for someone with the heart of a teacher, not the heart of a salesman.”

Hiring a real estate professional who has his or her finger on the pulse of the market will make your buying experience an informed and educated one. You need someone who is going to tell you the truth, not just what they think you want to hear.

Bottom Line

If you’re ready to start your search online, let’s get together. You’ll want someone who is educated and informed at your side who can answer your questions and guide you through a process that can be complex and confusing if you go at it with the Internet alone.

Be on the Lookout for Gen Z: The Next Generation of Homebuyers

Be on the Lookout for Gen Z: The Next Generation of Homebuyers | Simplifying The Market

Gen Zers are the next generation of homeowners, and they’re eager to jump in and buy their first homes. Whether you are part of this generation or any other, it’s never too early to start saving, so you can reach your homeownership goal sooner rather than later.

You’ve likely heard a ton about Millennials, but what about Gen Z? In the next 5 years, this generation will be between the ages of 23 and 28, and they’re eager to become homeowners faster than you may think.

According to realtor.com,Nearly 80 percent of Generation Z members say they want to own a home before age 30,” and Concentrix Analytics said, “52% of prospective Gen Z buyers are already saving to buy a home.”

Wikipedia defines Generation Z (Gen Z) as “the demographic cohort after the Millennials. Demographers and researchers typically use the mid-1990s to mid-2000s as starting birth years.”

The report from Concentrix goes a little deeper on Gen Z, identifying the main reasons this cohort wants to own homes:

  • 55% want to own a home because they want to start a family
  • 47% want to build wealth over time
  • 33% want to make their family proud

Although they’re eager to buy, this generation also perceives a few challenges ahead:

  • 66% believe saving for a down payment and closing costs will be challenging
  • 58% feel covering the monthly costs of owning may be difficult
  • 52% perceive a lack of knowledge about where to start

It is also interesting to note that 21% of Gen Zers think their parents will provide financial help, 17% will use a down payment assistance program, and 15% believe other family members will help them. One of the highlights of the report mentioned,

“More than half of Gen Zers who think they’ll receive help also think they will need to pay their parents back, compared to 40 percent of millennials.”

Bottom Line

It is never too early to start saving for your own home, whether you are part of Gen Z or a different generation. If you would like to know where to start and how much you need to save to reach your goal of buying a home, let’s get together so you can better understand the process.

Existing-Home Sales Report Indicates Now Is a Great Time to Sell

Existing-Home Sales Report Indicates Now Is a Great Time to Sell | Simplifying The Market

Based on the current state of the market, trends are shifting in favor of sellers. If you are going to sell, now may be the time to take advantage of the number of buyers who are searching for their dream home.

The best time to sell anything is when demand for that item is high and the supply of that item is limited. The latest Existing-Home Sales Report released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), reveals that demand for housing continues to be strong, but the supply is struggling to keep pace. With this trend likely continuing throughout 2020, now is a great time to sell your house.

THE EXISTING-HOME SALES REPORT

The most important data revealed in this report was not actually sales. In reality, it was the inventory of homes for sale (supply). The report explained:

  • Total housing inventory at the end of August decreased 2.6% to 1.86 million homes available for sale.
  • Unsold inventory is lower than the 4.3-month figure recorded in August 2018.
  • This represents a 1-month supply at the current sales pace.

According to Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR,

“Sales are up, but inventory numbers remain low and are thereby pushing up
home prices.”

In real estate, there is a simple guideline that often applies here. Essentially, when there is less than a 6-month supply of inventory available, we are in a seller’s market and we will see greater appreciation. Between a 6 to 7-month supply is a neutral market, where prices will increase at the rate of inflation. More than a 7-month supply means we are in a buyer’s market and can expect depreciation in home values (see below):Existing-Home Sales Report Indicates Now Is a Great Time to Sell | Simplifying The MarketAs we mentioned before, there is currently a 4.1-month supply of homes on the market, and houses are going under contract fast. The Existing Home Sales Report also shows that 49% of properties were on the market for less than a month when they were sold. In August, properties sold nationally were typically on the market for 31 days. As Yun notes, this should continue,

“As expected, buyers are finding it hard to resist the current rates…The desire to take advantage of these promising conditions is leading more buyers to the market.” 

Takeaway: Inventory of homes for sale is still well below the 6-month supply needed for a normal market, and supply will fail to catch up with demand if a sizable supply does not enter the market.

Bottom Line

If you are going to sell, now may be the time to take advantage of the ready, willing, and able buyers who are out there searching for your house to become their dream home.

Summit Properties

9670 W. Tropicana Ave.    Ste. 115                                 

 Las Vegas, NV  89147

Summit Properties - Las Vegas Real Estate Agents